Golden Boot race
Who's in contention to finish as the tournament's top scorer — with a projected range of the goals each contender is on course to add. Penalties count; own goals don't. Projected ranges carry each player's scoring rate over the matches their team is still expected to play, from the Monte-Carlo model.
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Lionel Messi,
Kylian Mbappé
leading on 8 goals
169 scorers
· 268 goals · 97 matches played
Lionel Messi,
Kylian Mbappé
leading on 8 goals
169 scorers
· 268 goals · 97 matches played
Rank by
| # | Player | Team | Goals | Pens | Proj + | Proj total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionel Messi in contention |
Argentina | 8 | – | +1–6 | 9–14 |
| 1 | Kylian Mbappé in contention |
France | 8 | 1 | +0–4 | 8–12 |
| 3 |  Erling Haaland in contention |
Norway | 7 | – | +0–4 | 7–11 |
| 4 |  Harry Kane in contention |
England | 6 | 2 | +1–4 | 7–10 |
| 5 | Ousmane Dembélé |
France | 5 | – | +0–3 | 5–8 |
| 6 |  Ismaïla Sarr |
Senegal | 4 | – | – | 4 |
| 6 | Jude Bellingham |
England | 4 | – | +0–3 | 4–7 |
| 6 |  Julián Quiñones |
Mexico | 4 | – | – | 4 |
| 6 |  Mikel Oyarzabal |
Spain | 4 | – | +0–3 | 4–7 |
| 6 |  Vinícius Júnior |
Brazil | 4 | – | – | 4 |
| 11 |  Brian Brobbey |
Netherlands | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 | Cody Gakpo |
Netherlands | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Deniz Undav |
Germany | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Elijah Just |
New Zealand | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Folarin Balogun |
USA | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Ismael Saibari |
Morocco | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Johan Manzambi |
Switzerland | 3 | – | +0–2 | 3–5 |
| 11 |  Jonathan David |
Canada | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 | Matheus Cunha |
Brazil | 3 | – | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Romelu Lukaku |
Belgium | 3 | – | +0–2 | 3–5 |
| 11 |  Cristiano Ronaldo |
Portugal | 3 | 1 | – | 3 |
| 11 | Kai Havertz |
Germany | 3 | 1 | – | 3 |
| 11 | Raúl Jiménez |
Mexico | 3 | 1 | – | 3 |
| 11 |  Yoane Wissa |
DR Congo | 3 | 1 | – | 3 |
| 25 |  Amad Diallo |
Ivory Coast | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Anthony Elanga |
Sweden | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Ayase Ueda |
Japan | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Azzedine Ounahi |
Morocco | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Bradley Barcola |
France | 2 | – | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 25 | Charles De Ketelaere |
Belgium | 2 | – | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 25 | Crysencio Summerville |
Netherlands | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Cyle Larin |
Canada | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Daichi Kamada |
Japan | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Daniel Muñoz |
Colombia | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Emam Ashour |
Egypt | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Ermin Mahmic |
Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Habib Diarra |
Senegal | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Leandro Trossard |
Belgium | 2 | – | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 25 | Malik Tillman |
USA | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Maxi Araújo |
Uruguay | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Mostafa Zico |
Egypt | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Nicolas Pépé |
Ivory Coast | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Pape Gueye |
Senegal | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Ramin Rezaeian |
Iran | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 |  Riyad Mahrez |
Algeria | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Rubén Vargas |
Switzerland | 2 | – | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 25 | Soufiane Rahimi |
Morocco | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Yasin Ayari |
Sweden | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 25 | Breel Embolo |
Switzerland | 2 | 1 | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 25 |  Marko Arnautovic |
Austria | 2 | 1 | – | 2 |
| 25 | Youri Tielemans |
Belgium | 2 | 1 | +0–2 | 2–4 |
| 52 |  Abbosbek Fayzullaev |
Uzbekistan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Abdulelah Al-Amri |
Saudi Arabia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Achraf Hakimi |
Morocco | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Agustín Cano |
Uruguay | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Alex Freeman |
USA | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Alexander Isak |
Sweden | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Alexis Saelemaekers |
Belgium | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 |  Ali Olwan |
Jordan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Amine Gouiri |
Algeria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Ante Budimir |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Antonio Nusa |
Norway | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 |  Arda Güler |
Turkey | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Auston Trusty |
USA | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Aymen Hussein |
Iraq | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Baris Alper Yilmaz |
Turkey | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Brian Cipenga |
DR Congo | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Caleb Yirenkyi |
Ghana | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Casemiro |
Brazil | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Connor Metcalfe |
Australia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Cristian Romero |
Argentina | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Daizen Maeda |
Japan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Dan Ndoye |
Switzerland | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 |  Deroy Duarte |
Cape Verde | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Derrick Luckassen |
Ghana | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Désiré Doué |
France | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Eldor Shomurodov |
Uzbekistan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Enzo Fernández |
Argentina | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Felix Nmecha |
Germany | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Finn Surman |
New Zealand | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Fiston Mayele |
DR Congo | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Franck Kessié |
Ivory Coast | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Gabriel Martinelli |
Brazil | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Gessime Yassine |
Morocco | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Giovani Lo Celso |
Argentina | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Giovanni Reyna |
USA | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Gonzalo Plata |
Ecuador | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Gonçalo Ramos |
Portugal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Hans Vanaken |
Belgium | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 |  Hassan Al-Haydos |
Qatar | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Hazem Mastouri |
Tunisia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Hwang In-Beom |
South Korea | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Hélio Varela |
Cape Verde | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Ibrahim Mbaye |
Senegal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Iliman Ndiaye |
Senegal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Issa Diop |
Morocco | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Ivan Perisic |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Jamal Musiala |
Germany | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Jan Paul van Hecke |
Netherlands | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Jhon Arias |
Colombia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  John McGinn |
Scotland | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Jovo Lukić |
Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | João Neves |
Portugal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Julio Enciso |
Paraguay | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Junya Ito |
Japan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Jáminton Campaz |
Colombia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Kaan Ayhan |
Turkey | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Kaishu Sano |
Japan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Keito Nakamura |
Japan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Kerim Alajbegovic |
Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Kevin De Bruyne |
Belgium | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Kevin Pina |
Cape Verde | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Ladislav Krejcí |
Czech Republic | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Lamine Yamal |
Spain | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Leo Østigard |
Norway | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Leroy Sané |
Germany | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Lisandro Martínez |
Argentina | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 |  Livano Comenencia |
Curaçao | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Luis Díaz |
Colombia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Luis Romo |
Mexico | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mahmoud Saber |
Egypt | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Marcel Sabitzer |
Austria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Marcus Holmgren Pedersen |
Norway | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Marcus Rashford |
England | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Martin Baturina |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mateo Chávez |
Mexico | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mattias Svanberg |
Sweden | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Matías Galarza |
Paraguay | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mauricio |
Paraguay | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Michal Sadílek |
Czech Republic | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mikel Merino |
Spain | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Mohamed Salah |
Egypt | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mohammad Mohebbi |
Iran | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Mousa Al-Tamari |
Jordan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nadhir Benbouali |
Algeria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nathan Saliba |
Canada | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nathaniel Brown |
Germany | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nestory Irankunda |
Australia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nico Schlotterbeck |
Germany | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nikola Vlasic |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nilson Angulo |
Ecuador | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nizar Al-Rashdan |
Jordan | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Nuno Mendes |
Portugal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Oh Hyeon-Gyu |
South Korea | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Omar Rekik |
Tunisia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Pedro Porro |
Spain | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Petar Musa |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Petar Sucic |
Croatia | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Promise David |
Canada | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Rafael Leão |
Portugal | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Rafik Belghali |
Algeria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Romano Schmid |
Austria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Sasa Kalajdzic |
Austria | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Sebastian Berhalter |
USA | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Sidny Lopes Cabral |
Cape Verde | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Stephan Eustáquio |
Canada | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Thapelo Maseko |
South Africa | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Thelo Aasgaard |
Norway | 1 | – | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Trézéguet |
Egypt | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Viktor Gyökeres |
Sweden | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Virgil van Dijk |
Netherlands | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 |  Wilson Isidor |
Haiti | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Yasser Ibrahim |
Egypt | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Álex Baena |
Spain | 1 | – | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Álvaro Fidalgo |
Mexico | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| 52 | Granit Xhaka |
Switzerland | 1 | 1 | +0–1 | 1–2 |
| 52 | Lautaro Martínez |
Argentina | 1 | 1 | +0–2 | 1–3 |
| 52 | Neymar |
Brazil | 1 | 1 | – | 1 |
| 52 | Teboho Mokoena |
South Africa | 1 | 1 | – | 1 |
Projection = a goals-per-match rate × the team's expected remaining matches. The rate is regressed toward a modest prior early on (so a hot opening game doesn't project a record-shattering tally) and sharpens as more matches are played. Because goals come in whole numbers, the projection is shown as a range — the 80% most-likely band of additional goals (a Poisson interval about that rate), not a fractional figure. It's a transparent estimate, not a per-player model — a striker on a team projected deep into the knockouts is credited more upside than one likely to bow out early.